
I'm a single guy in my late twenties who recently crossed coasts to live in the best city on earth. Having no doubts in my assessment of NYC, I immediately began the process of putting a $200-300K salary and $100K down payment to work finding an apartment.
Over the four months it took from start to finish, I kept detailed records and applied my analytical background towards developing a realistic picture of the costs and benefits. My final rent versus buy analysis I share with you in the hope that it clarifies your decision-making process.
I bought a 525 square foot one-bedroom co-op in a Chelsea elevator building for $455,000, putting 20% down plus about $5,000 in closing costs (roughly equivalent to a rental broker fee if I had decided to rent instead of buy). I took out a 30-year fixed mortgage at 4%, which works out to $1,738 per month. Tack on my co-op's $1,112 monthly maintenance charges, and my monthly expenses rise to $2,850 per month.
But $2,850 is my out-of-pocket expense. Taking into account tax deductions, my actual (net) cost is actually just a little over half that. And if you are optimistic, as I am, that NYC property values will increase at least 3.5% a year, I'm actually living for free.
Here's the deal:
But wait, there's more. In my view, there is every reason to expect that rents in this city will continue to trend upward over the next three decades. My mortgage, however, will be locked in at $1,738 (although it should be noted that the maintenance portion will likely increase).
Better yet, each month the split between principal payment and interest shifts towards principal (by about $2 per month) as the loan is paid down, swapping 35% tax deduction dollars into 100% 'investment' dollars.
Morever, all of these calculations assume the price of my property stays flat--which is, hopefully, unlikely! Any increase in price is pure cash in my pocket when I sell, (minus those pesky transactional costs of course).
Bottom line: If I assume 3.5% average increase per anum in Chelsea properties and sell after 5 years (and according to the Miller Samuel decade report, median prices for Chelsea one-bedroom co-ops have, in fact, appreciated 4.02% per year from 2002 to 2011), I will have made enough profit on the sale to almost cover all of my effective monthly payments--in other words, I will live in the apartment for free.
What does all this mean for you? Exactly what I tell all my friends. If you have good credit, love NYC, and can swing a down payment with higher upfront cash outlay each month, now is a fantastic time to buy vs rent.
Related:
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16 things I wish I knew before buying this place
What I wish I'd known before buying
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